Suppose that there are two (2)
candidates (i.e., Jones and Johns) in the upcoming presidential election.  Sara notes that she has discussed the
presidential election candidates with 15 friends, and 10 said that they are
voting for candidate Jones. Sara is therefore convinced that candidate Jones
will win the election because Jones gets more than 50% of votes.
Answer the following questions in
the space provided below:
1.  Based on
what you now know about statistical inference, is Sara’s conclusion a logical
conclusion? Why or why not?
2.  How many
friend samples Sara should have in order to draw the conclusion with 95%
confidence interval? Why?
3.  How would
you explain your conclusion to Sara without using any statistical jargon? Why?

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